Addressing Ultra-Low Fertility in South Korea: Integrating Gender Equity Theory with Pronatalist Policy Analysis - Abstract
South Korea confronts an unprecedented demographic crisis, with its total fertility rate
(TFR) plummeting to 0.72 in 2023, the lowest in recorded global history. Despite substantial
government investment exceeding 280 trillion won since 2006, conventional pronatalist
policies have failed to reverse fertility decline. This study employs McDonald’s gender equity
theory and the Second Demographic Transition framework to analyze the structural causes
of policy ineffectiveness, demonstrating that ultra-low fertility persists due to institutional
incoherence between individual-oriented and family-oriented gender equity. Through
comparative analysis of six countries (South Korea, Sweden, France, Japan, Singapore,
and Taiwan), this research reveals that effective fertility policy requires comprehensive
institutional transformation rather than financial incentives alone. The findings indicate that
South Korea’s failure stems from treating fertility as a resource shortage problem rather
than addressing fundamental institutional gender inequities embedded in labor markets,
workplace cultures, and family structures. This study provides evidence-based policy
recommendations emphasizing institutional coherence, gender equity in both individual
and family domains, workplace flexibility, affordable childcare infrastructure, and cultural
transformation away from intensive mothering norms.